1999 ANNUAL REPORT, PROVINCIAL AUDITOR
MINISTRY OF FINANCE

CONTENTS

Thursday 17 February 2000

1999 Annual Report, Provincial Auditor: Section 3.07, provincial personal income tax revenue and related credits and reductions
Ministry of Finance

Dr Bryne Purchase, deputy minister
Mr Patrick Deutscher, director, macroeconomic analysis and policy branch
Mr Roy Lawrie, assistant deputy minister, tax revenue division
Mr Tom Sweeting, assistant deputy minister, office of the budget and taxation

STANDING COMMITTEE ON PUBLIC ACCOUNTS

Chair / Président
Mr John Gerretsen (Kingston and the Islands / Kingston et les îles L)

Vice-Chair / Vice-Président
Mr John C. Cleary (Stormont-Dundas-Charlottenburgh L)

Mr John C. Cleary (Stormont-Dundas-Charlottenburgh L)
Mr John Gerretsen (Kingston and the Islands / Kingston et les îles L)
Mr John Hastings (Etobicoke North / -Nord PC)
Ms Shelley Martel (Nickel Belt ND)
Mr Bart Maves (Niagara Falls PC)
Mrs Julia Munro (York North / -Nord PC)
Ms Marilyn Mushinski (Scarborough Centre / -Centre PC)
Mr Richard Patten (Ottawa Centre / -Centre L)

Substitutions / Membres remplaçants
Mr Bob Wood (London West / -Ouest PC)

Also taking part / Autres participants et participantes

Mr Gerry Phillips (Scarborough-Agincourt L)
Mr Erik Peters, Provincial Auditor

Clerk pro tem / Greffier par intérim
Mr Douglas Arnott

Staff / Personnel
Mr Ray McLellan, research officer, Research and Information Services

The committee met at 1045 in committee room 1, following a closed session.

1999 ANNUAL REPORT, PROVINCIAL AUDITOR
MINISTRY OF FINANCE

Consideration of section 3.07, provincial personal income tax revenue and related credits and reductions.

The Chair (Mr John Gerretsen): Good morning. I'd like to call to order the meeting of the standing committee on public accounts dealing with section 3.07 of the 1999 annual report of the Provincial Auditor, dealing with provincial personal income tax revenue and related credits and reductions.

I'd like to welcome everyone here, particularly the individuals from the ministry. We'd like to start with a 15- to 20-minute presentation by the ministry, and after that there will be questions from the members of the committee. Good morning, sir.

Dr Bryne Purchase: My name is Bryne Purchase. I'm the Deputy Minister of Finance. Mr Roy Lawrie, is the assistant deputy minister of the tax revenue division. Mr Tom Sweeting is the assistant deputy minister, office of the budget and taxation. Mr Patrick Deutscher is the director of the macroeconomic analysis and policy branch.

I have a brief address I'd like to read into the record here. It's my pleasure to appear here today to address the observations and recommendations made by the Provincial Auditor in his report on the Canada-Ontario tax collection agreement. This is my first appearance before this committee, and I would like to take the opportunity to say that I have found my relationship to the Provincial Auditor, Mr Peters, to be very positive and helpful to the ministry while at the same time serving the interests of the Legislature. For this I am grateful to him and would like to say so publicly.

In respect of the matter before us, I can say that in general the Ministry of Finance supports the recommendations made by the auditor and actions have been taken on all of them. Action, of course, in this instance involves intensive and sometimes protracted negotiations with the federal government by Ontario and other provinces. However, we believe the record shows that we can and have achieved results.

To understand many of the issues raised by the Provincial Auditor, it's important to understand how the tax collection agreement works. In 1962 all provinces, with the exception of Quebec, entered tax collection agreements with Ottawa. Under these tax collection agreements, Ottawa agreed to collect and administer provincial personal income tax, to pay provinces the value of the personal income tax assessed, and to do so free of charge.

The provinces agreed, in turn, to impose a single personal income tax rate, calculated as a percentage of federal tax payable, to make their income tax acts parallel to the federal act and to provide Ottawa with the powers necessary to administer and collect provincial income tax, PIT.

The Ontario tax collection agreement was signed on April 24, 1962. Over the years, the federal government and the provinces have agreed to expand the tax collection agreement to include a wide array of provincial tax possibilities. For example, Ontario tax credits were introduced in 1972-73, the Ontario tax reduction in 1975, and high-income surtaxes, now known as the Fair Share health care levy, in 1986.

In 1999, Ontario was making use of a variety of tax policy instruments; for example, low-income tax reductions, income-tested credits, high-income surtaxes and economic development credits. Ontario also provides PIT credits for unincorporated small businesses for certain activities such as hiring co-op education students, unemployed recent graduates and persons with disabilities, and supporting child care.

Despite this increasing tax policy flexibility, however, there were and are still many restrictions. The only thing Ontario can change without the federal government's prior consent is the basic rate, currently 38.5% of the basic federal tax, and that rate is only supposed to be expressed in full or half points. In effect, the federal government has been using its monopoly control of tax administration to enforce what it deems to be appropriate tax policy at the provincial level. Nor do we have much control over federal administration. The tax collection agreement offers us no right to require certain audit coverage targets to ensure proper compliance. We do not even have access to the files or results on federal audit work in provincial tax areas.

With that background, I would like now to address the issues that the Provincial Auditor has brought to the fore in his report.

Let me address first the recommendation that the ministry negotiate amendments to the tax collection agreement so that "payments of Ontario personal income taxes are remitted to the province in the correct amount and on a more timely basis" or that "the ministry should seek compensation for the cash flow deficiencies for each year." There are two issues here: (1) the timing of federal payment flows to Ontario; and (2) the use of revenue forecasts rather than actual collection.

With regard to the timing of payments, as mentioned by the Provincial Auditor, the federal government announced a speed-up in the timing of PIT payments in 1998. We have now received updated data from the federal government that indicate that the speed-up has eliminated the cost to Ontario that had previously arisen from late timing of payments.

However, this still leaves the issue of using revenue forecasts to determine how much money the federal government should transfer to Ontario in respect of Ontario personal income taxes it is collecting on our behalf. This issue could be resolved, as the auditor has suggested, by moving to a system whereby the federal government transfers amounts as they themselves receive payments rather than on the basis of the forecasted amount. The ministry agrees that the advances in information technology may make it possible for the federal government to base its payments to Ontario on actual income tax collection. Accordingly, the ministry is currently actively pursuing this issue with the federal government, including the question of whether estimation of revenues generally results in lost revenue for Ontario.

Let me now turn to the related matter of interest penalties and bad debt. Under the tax collection agreements, participating provinces are paid on the basis of tax assessed, not actually collected. As a result, the federal government absorbs any bad debts arising in respect of provincial tax. In return, the federal government is allowed to keep any interest and penalties levied in respect of the provincial tax.

As noted in the auditor's report, the ministry estimates that at present the federal government may be benefiting from this arrangement by approximately $50 million a year. Since 1997, the ministry has been pressing the federal government to collect the data necessary to determine the actual amount of any benefit. Therefore, I can only say that we agree with the auditor that the federal government should collect the required data to determine if there is an ongoing federal benefit, and that amendments to the tax collection agreement should be considered if this is the case.

Let me turn now to the matter of audits. As noted in the auditor's report, and as I have already noted, under the current tax collection agreement, the ministry has no right to establish minimum audit requirements or to receive information by which we could monitor Revenue Canada's performance in ensuring adequate compliance. Consequently, the province cannot be assured that the declaration of payment of personal income taxes, to which the province is entitled, are in the correct amount. The ministry agrees that the recommendation has merit, and we are pursuing it as well with the federal government.

Turning now to the similar issue of related credits and reductions. The report recommended that more doubtful provincial property and sales tax credit claims be audited by Revenue Canada in order to reduce the incidence of false or inaccurate claims, and that a random sample from the remaining tax credit claims be audited.

The province has long recognized that the audit coverage of provincial tax credits is inadequate and has been working with the federal government since the early 1990s in an attempt to increase the audit coverage to 5% from its current level of 2%. In 1993, the province conducted a pilot project in which we conducted our own audits of property and sales tax credits. Although the project was a success, the federal government refused to allow Ontario to continue the pilot project since Revenue Canada felt that there was a potential for taxpayer confusion, with more than one tax administration responsible for personal income tax.

In response to our complaint, CCRA has now conducted a random sample of audits for the 1998 taxation year. The ministry is awaiting the results of the sample in order to review the compliance rate of the property and sales tax credit program. Also, in September 1999, the ministry entered into negotiations with the CCRA to increase the audit coverage of property and sales tax credits from 2% to 5%.

The CCRA has recently provided the ministry with a written cost estimate of slightly over $1 million to provide an additional 3% level of audit coverage. With the results of the CCRA survey, we can determine the exact business case for the additional expenditure, and the increased audit coverage could be in place for the 1999 taxation year.

The ministry has also acted on the auditor's recommendations concerning audits of labour-sponsored investment funds and eligible small businesses. Four additional auditors were hired in early 1999. The ministry is on track to meet the 1999-2000 program goal of having each LSIF audited at least once every two years and every small business audited at least once.

Since April 1999, field audits have been completed on five LSIFs and 97 small businesses. The ministry has further developed its annual certificate of compliance reporting procedures for all registered LSIFs by supplying LSIFs with information from the ministry's database. Each fund is required to reconcile those figures and, where discrepancies exist, provide the ministry with reconciling data. As well, the CCRA conducted a review of potentially invalid claims in the summer of 1999. Of the 1,750 potentially invalid claims for the 1996 taxation year identified by the ministry, 952 were determined to be valid by CCRA. Reassessment notices were issued by CCRA for the remaining 978 claims, totalling over $400,000 in September and October 1999. From now on, each year the ministry will be able to identify those claims with a high probability of being invalid and will forward this information to CCRA within six months of receipt of each taxation year's data from CCRA.

I want to assure the committee as well that the ministry is acting on the recommendation to explore with the CCRA options to improve verification of Ontario tax reduction claims to ensure that Ontario tax reductions are only provided to eligible individuals and in the correct amount. In September 1999, the ministry began negotiations with the CCRA to this end. Verification of claims could be accomplished by computer matching of data from various sources such as T1 and T1C information, the federal child tax benefit program, the Ontario child care supplement program and both federal and provincial disability programs. The ministry is currently awaiting CCRA's response.

Finally, let me turn to the auditor's recommendation that the ministry determine whether the benefits under the tax collection agreement outweigh the restrictions and consider renegotiating the tax collection agreement in line with provincial interests.

As I have attempted to indicate in my remarks, we are in a state of almost continuous negotiation with the federal government on this matter. We can point to a number of accomplishments; for example, increased flexibility in the existing tax-on-tax system by the addition of a number of tax credits in the check-off box, the speed-up of federal payments in respect of Ontario personal income taxes, and the improved audit of Ontario tax credits and labour-sponsored investment funds. Recently, the CCRA has proposed what it refers to as a new management framework agreement that includes some aspects of performance reporting, not that those are necessarily wholly acceptable to us at this stage.

Perhaps the largest single accomplishment is the agreement by which the federal government will allow the provinces in the tax collection agreement to move to a tax-on-income system. This will provide substantially increased policy flexibility to the provinces which choose this option. The government of Ontario has already indicated its desire to have a personal income tax system designed to meet Ontario's specific needs. Since the auditor's report was prepared, the government has announced its intention to move to a tax-on-income system.

Although we have made a lot of progress, the job is not finished, and the minister and the Ministry of Finance are continuing to press Ontario's case with the federal government on a number of fronts; for example, improved auditing of the Ontario tax reduction and personal income tax returns, ensuring that Ontario is not put at a disadvantage by the policy on interest penalties and bad debt, and, above all, ensuring tax policy equality for Ontario; that is, equality with the federal government.

In conclusion, I welcome the report of the Provincial Auditor, which highlights the importance of the work that the Ministry of Finance has been doing over the past many years and is continuing to do to improve the tax collection agreement that Ontario maintains with the federal government. All of these matters are a matter of negotiation with the federal government. These negotiations are ongoing and sometimes protracted, but we are, after all, dealing with a single entity that supplies its services to the government of Ontario. But we will continue to work to ensure that Ontario is not put at a disadvantage by our tax collection relationship with the federal government. Thank you very much.

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The Chair: Thank you very much, Mr Purchase. We have about 18 minutes left for each caucus before the noon-hour recess. We'll determine at 12 o'clock whether we want the delegation to come back this afternoon at 1:30. Today we're starting off with the NDP.

Ms Shelley Martel (Nickel Belt): Thank you for coming today. Let me start at the end and then work back.

The Minister of Finance certainly said to the finance and economic affairs committee that he was looking for a tax system to meet Ontario's needs. Could you explain to the committee, in terms of what the minister envisions in this regard, what concrete changes would have to be made to the tax agreement to allow that to happen-specific amendments or enforcement of what is already there or items that may not clearly be enforced, in your mind, with respect to what Ottawa is doing.

Dr Purchase: The specific ideas that the minister may have with respect to how the government will utilize its powers under the new tax-on-income arrangement, I can't, of course, divulge. That's for the minister to tell you when he feels it's appropriate.

I can tell you, however, that under a tax-on-income arrangement, it will be open to the province to determine its own tax brackets, its own rates within those brackets, and it will have the power to have a set of refundable or non-refundable tax credits. We'll move from a single percentage rate calculated on basic federal tax to a much more fulsome policy flexibility with respect to the tax system in Ontario.

Ms Martel: If the overall agreement was due to be renegotiated in 2001, as the committee was led to understand this morning, has the minister entered into those negotiations now with the federal government with respect to the changes Ontario would like to see?

Dr Purchase: We have been in constant negotiation, not on the details of what we would like to see necessarily at this stage, but certainly in preparation for that.

Ms Martel: You mentioned earlier the issue around the delay in payments, which the auditor pointed out was on average 20 months after all of the income tax was received by Revenue Canada. It has now been changed, and if I heard you correctly there certainly has been a speed-up of payments. What would be the delay now in our receiving a final accounting?

Dr Purchase: The final accounting for the year? We're still operating on the basis of federal forecasts. They still pay us on a forecast basis. What we have achieved, compared to the prior payment basis, is a speed-up when they deliver the money. But because we're working on the basis of forecasts, the numbers can still be wrong.

Ms Martel: On average it was 20 months. What has that dropped to now in terms of when we receive it?

Dr Purchase: Patrick?

Mr Patrick Deutscher: In terms of the final lag between the settlement, between the federal government and their payment to us, or after they've made their initial round of estimates based on their forecasts, that really hasn't changed. It would still be at the present time the same for the lag between the closing of that tax year and the final receipt of money by Ontario. So at present it's still unchanged. Unless we went to a collection-based system, that really wouldn't be affected.

Dr Purchase: If I could, the improvement we have accomplished here is simply that their payments start earlier. But again, as I say, it's based on a forecast; it's not based on actual collections. The auditor has recommended that we look at moving to an actual collections basis. As I indicated in my remarks, we're certainly doing that to determine the advantages to Ontario of moving there. What it would do is simply remove the whole question of forecast. If we went to an actual collections basis, we wouldn't have to worry about forecasts, and it would become academic about bad debts versus penalties. There are some very significant positives, but there are also some negatives to moving to a collections basis, and we are trying to determine the net advantage to Ontario of doing it.

Ms Martel: Can I ask how the ministry is proceeding to make that determination?

Dr Purchase: We're trying to track down exactly what it would mean. Right now the big advantage of getting money on the basis of a predetermined payment schedule is that you know exactly when the money is coming to you. It's still based on a federal forecast of what is owing, but at least we know when it's coming, and there are certain cash management implications of that. If we move to a collections basis, the money will be a lot more variable when it comes, and that increases our cash management problems. So we have to take into account the fact of getting the money in a nice, even, steady, predictable flow versus getting the money in a very uneven, unpredictable series of monthly payments.

There are also some administrative costs to employers to implement a collections-based system, because they have to identify for Revenue Canada the kind of monies that would be payable in respect of their employees in Ontario versus their employees across the country and so forth. There are a number of issues, and we're trying to review a catalogue of all the issues and then review each one. Then we'll present a recommendation to the minister in this regard.

Ms Martel: Actually, at this point the onus is on Ontario to make a determination of which direction you want to move in, and then you can go to the feds to proceed with further discussions.

Dr Purchase: We're constantly in discussion. Even though we find them very difficult to deal with-after all, there's no other supplier here; we're just dealing with them-it's not particularly acrimonious. We do talk to them regularly about our needs and about what they can and cannot do. This is a continuous, ongoing negotiation, as it were, and we're actively involved in that right now on this issue.

Ms Martel: Can you comment on how simple or how difficult it is to receive information from the federal government and what kind of response you get from the feds when you try to provide input? For example, if you look at the forecast, the auditor has told us that the federal government bases its forecasts on a number of indicators which may or may not be particularly relevant to Ontario, and there's no obligation for you to sign on or sign off. The federal government can continue with its forecasts whether or not Ontario likes that.

When you get a forecast now, or in the past, what has the ministry done with that? Have you tried to make changes, have you approached the federal government or have they dismissed you? What route have you taken when you got a forecast you may very well disagree with?

Dr Purchase: I'll ask one of my colleagues to respond to that.

Mr Deutscher: In general, I would say that I have never known the federal government to make a change to their forecasts on the basis of provincial comments. We do engage in discussion with them in various forums, but I have never, ever seen them make a change to their numbers. That being said, they are in the same boat as other forecasters, looking well into the future when people do their tax returns. It's not my sense that there's anything particularly malicious in what they're doing, but they have made big forecast errors.

Dr Purchase: If I could, forecasting is not an exact science. After all, we're asking people to tell us what the future is going to be. No matter how you cut it, that's what it's all about. Needless to say, people will have different estimates of what the future is. But I think the real issue here for us is that when we go to the federal government, they run the tax collection system and we have to complain long and loud and hard to get them to listen to us. It's as simple as that. They might say, "Yes, that's very interesting, but we're accountable, we're in charge and goodbye."

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Ms Martel: Do you see any of that changing with the establishment of the new agency to collect taxes? My second question would be, what kind of input has Ontario had in the establishment of that agency and the technology that might be used in any of the details which, in effect, could make things better than they seem to be now?

Dr Purchase: I think there are some benefits from the establishment of a new agency. Perhaps they're not near what one could have hoped for. From our perspective, the way we would like them to act would be like any other supplier to us in the private sector, wherever they are, and be responsive to customer needs and desires. We just want them to act like they were actually in a business and doing what we ask them to do. But I don't think we're near that at the present time, notwithstanding that I think they are trying to make more efforts in that regard than they have in the past.

My own experience with these issues goes back 25 years. This has been an ongoing struggle for Ontario-and the other provinces involved also feel the same way-with the federal government in respect of the tax collection agreement to get them to make changes. They only do so with great reluctance, it seems to me. On the other side of this, as I said in my remarks, I think this government has been an important part-perhaps the most important part-in the achievement of a rather remarkable breakthrough, the movement to a tax on income system. That is something we've been trying to get for years, and they did it.

Ms Martel: Let me ask about the interest payments that Ontario has not seen. The auditor made it clear earlier that we now have the picture for 1998, although I don't have the actual figure for the underestimation in millions of dollars. Do you have that figure for the 1998 tax year?

Dr Purchase: I'm sorry, could you repeat that?

Interjection: About $110 million.

Ms Martel: I'm working from the auditor's report, which listed the underestimation of revenue forecasts and the associated interest costs. It only went from 1995 to 1997, and outlines the tax year and the underestimation by the federal government of what revenue should flow to Ontario. In terms of where we were when this audit was completed, the auditor estimated that we had lost interest payments on the order of about $189 million. With the new figures for 1998, we should be closer to about $300 million in lost interest as a result of when money actually flowed to Ontario.

My question is, what kind of discussions have you been having with the federal government around that interest cost? Clearly that's a fairly significant amount of money that Ontario should otherwise be entitled to.

Dr Purchase: That's part of our ongoing discussion with them about monies owed to us. Certainly in respect of all these years, we are continuing to discuss interest costs with both the CCRA and the Department of Finance.

Ms Martel: Do you make some kind of formal claim to the federal government with respect to interest lost? Do provinces do that?

Dr Purchase: We haven't recently done that, but I believe there was a formal claim at one time. But we haven't recently, mainly because we are constantly addressing this issue. We are now engaged, if you like, so we don't send rockets every once in a while to get their attention. We have their attention on the issue and we continue to discuss the issue with them.

Ms Martel: Pursuing the issue around audit requirements and essentially the monitoring of compliance, can you give this committee some idea of what you would like to see with respect to what the federal government provides you in terms of information with respect to audit requirements, coverage etc?

Dr Purchase: Maybe I could ask Mr Lawrie to respond to that.

Mr Roy Lawrie: The CCRA has proposed what it calls a management framework agreement with each of the provinces under which it plans to provide certain performance indicators for its administration of provincial income tax. We see that as an opportunity, in negotiating that agreement, to put in some of the information that we require to do what the Provincial Auditor has suggested.

Ms Martel: Can you elaborate on what that information is?

Mr Lawrie: So far, they've signed one with Nova Scotia. I think that's the first and only one to date. We have a first draft from them and we should shortly be providing our input into that; we want some changes to it. I believe that all of the other agreeing provinces are also negotiating the framework at the same time as us. So it will take some time.

Ms Martel: Just so I'm clear, the framework agreement would involve audit coverage?

Mr Lawrie: It can involve things like that. If you like, it sort of sets the scene, puts in place all of the old exchange-of-information agreements, memoranda of understanding etc between the provincial tax administrations and Revenue Canada, identifies the CCRA as its successor and proposes meetings to discuss how provincial income tax is being administered, a sort of report card, if you like, by way of information on certain indicators which will be discussed with the provinces.

Ms Martel: The deputy had told us earlier that you have a figure now for a fee, I think it was in the order of $1 million, for the federal government to do increased audits, to move from 2% to 5% coverage. Was it a $1-million cost? Just so I'm clear, that was for audits of property and sales tax credits? Have you made a formal decision that you pay that fee in order to get that increased coverage?

Mr Lawrie: We're likely to make that decision very soon. The federal government provided that estimate to us just under two weeks ago. We'll be responding to them very shortly, and the likelihood is that we'll take them up on it.

The Chair: Thank you very much. That's the 18 minutes. The government side.

Ms Marilyn Mushinski (Scarborough Centre): The Provincial Auditor has talked a considerable amount about the amount of money that's not only being delayed in being returned to Ontarians and their communities, but my understanding is that there's a considerable amount of money that's never returned by the federal government in the whole field of interest and penalties. While our government has been setting some pretty forward-thinking tax policies, like the OTR, I'd be interested in knowing exactly how much the Ontario government has been shortchanged by the current tax arrangement with the federal government since 1995, which was when we were first elected. Do you have that information?

Interjection: Back to 1990.

Ms Mushinski: Well, I'm interested in the track record for our government.

Dr Purchase: We can get that information for you. I think we have several years.

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Ms Mushinski: OK. Now, my understanding is that Mr Eves, at the beginning of the standing committee on finance and economic affairs, discussed the government's desire to implement a made-in-Ontario tax-on-income system, and you alluded to it in your opening remarks. Could you tell this committee how such a move to a tax-on-income system will assist in resolving some of the problems that have been identified by the Provincial Auditor?

Dr Purchase: There are many potential advantages. One is that it provides the government of Ontario the opportunity to have different brackets. There are currently three federal tax brackets. If Ontario wished to have different tax brackets, then it could do so. We can have a different-

Ms Mushinski: Before you go any further, I'm not completely familiar with how that could be established. Could you enlarge on that for me?

Dr Purchase: Rather than have me do it, I'm going to turn to the expert, which would be Tom Sweeting, to describe that to you.

Mr Tom Sweeting: In terms of the establishment of a tax-on-income system, currently when Ontarians calculate their Ontario income tax, basically what they do is go through a process to calculate federal tax. How much is your taxable income? There's a calculation to go through for how much is your taxable income. There's a series of tax brackets applied to it. On the first amount of taxable income, you pay this amount; on the next amount, you pay this amount. You calculate a federal liability. There are certain federal credits that are deductible. There's a credit for a basic personal exemption. There are credits in respect of spouses and those kinds of things that then reduce the tax liability. It creates an amount that's called basic federal tax. Then Ontario comes along and applies a percentage to that number that is owed to the federal government.

Under the tax-on-income regime that the minister has indicated Ontario wishes to move to, essentially that calculation of taxable income would be the same. You'd calculate how much your taxable income is. Then you'd calculate what your federal tax is, using brackets and rates set federally. Then you'd calculate what your Ontario tax will be, using brackets and rates set by Ontario. Then you'd take an amount off the federal tax for credits that they have determined are appropriate for personal exemptions, spouse etc. You'd take an amount off the provincial tax in a similar way in the amounts that the provincial government has determined would be appropriate to take off, and then you'd sum the two together to pay your tax.

Ms Mushinski: Obviously the provincial government would be better off with having that flexibility, is what you're saying.

Mr Sweeting: The provincial government would be better able to set tax burdens for Ontario purposes that were consistent with the needs of Ontarians and the objectives of the government.

Ms Mushinski: I think Mr Maves has some questions.

Mr Bart Maves (Niagara Falls): During your presen-tation, I thought you mentioned that the payments from the feds had actually been sped up. Did I hear that right? Does that mean there is no longer that same 20-month lag, or is it still a 20-month lag in payments?

Dr Purchase: There are essentially two issues that I tried to put. There is the fact that the federal government uses forecasts to determine our payments. Because they use forecasts, there is a final reconciliation ultimately. That's the 20-month lag. There is another issue; that is, in terms of their schedule of payments, they pay us every month, four times a month.

In terms of that schedule of payments, we've determined that if they sped up those payments, they would reduce the interest loss we were incurring. That's a separate matter from the other forecast matter. We have not resolved that issue. That continues to be an outstanding issue vis-à-vis the federal government. Given that we accept their forecast, and there's not much we can do about it, the fact of the matter is that they improved their payment schedule for a given forecast, and that reduced our interest loss associated with them.

Mr Maves: Following on that, then, have you at the ministry specifically sought from the federal government compensation for this cash flow deficiency, and if so, what's been their response?

Dr Purchase: Yes, we've continuously tried to get compensation for this, so far without success. I should point out that the forecast thing certainly in recent years has worked to our disadvantage. But in the early 1990s it worked to Ontario's advantage; ie their forecasts were overestimates of the amount of money actually owing. It's only been in recent years, where their forecasts have proved to be underestimates of the amount of money owing, that the disadvantage or the burden of advantage has shifted.

Mr Maves: Do you have estimates of what the advantage for Ontario was in those years?

Dr Purchase: In the early years, yes, we do. From 1990 to 1994, Ontario was overpaid by $3.3 billion, with estimated interest savings of about $469 million. Currently, with the years that we have-

Interjections.

Dr Purchase: This was a period, as you know, when the economy was declining dramatically and revenues to the government at the time were falling dramatically. The federal government had a more positive estimate of what was going to happen than what really did happen.

From 1995 to 1997, there was $2.1 billion in underpayments from the federal government relative to what actually was owing. We estimate interest costs associated with that to be $189 million. So when we make the final determination for 1998, we would add that, presumably.

Mr Maves: As I understand it, within the agreement, the federal government agrees to absorb bad debts, debts they can't collect. None of those estimates include bad debts. My understanding from the Provincial Auditor's report is that we have no idea of the amounts of that bad debt. Is that still the case or is there going to be a process by which we can find that out?

Dr Purchase: Maybe I could turn to Mr Sweeting again to respond to your questions.

Mr Sweeting: We have had a lot of discussion with the federal government around the issue of bad debts versus interest and penalties. There has been information exchanged around this. Essentially, it's not information that's easily accessible by CCRA; they don't actually carry information of that fashion. It's something that they have been going and trying to extract slowly to try and help grapple with this question. The federal government disagrees with our view. The auditor expressed in his report that the Ministry of Finance is of the view that we are short in the order of $50 million. There's that much more interest than there is money lost through bad debts. The federal government doesn't agree with that. We are currently debating with them the proper basis for assessing that. Without getting into a lot of detail, we believe it's important to use tax year information; they've been providing information on a fiscal year basis, which lines things up differently. So we're still in the process of trying to come to some sort of suitable estimate from our standpoint that's consistent with the tax year information. We talk to them regularly, we ask for information and we are still trying to gain sufficient information on a tax year basis.

Mr Maves: Have you been able to put a guesstimate on it?

Mr Sweeting: Well, $50 million is our guesstimate currently, in terms of what we believe is the excess of interest and penalties over bad debt.

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Mr Maves: No, no, I'm sorry. I meant a guesstimate on the bad debt.

Mr Sweeting: On the bad debt itself, I'm not sure.

Interjection.

Mr Sweeting: I'm told it's a net basis, the amount of bad debt itself versus the amount of interest and penalties.

Mr Maves: OK, I understand. You spoke in your presentation about restrictions that the federal government places on Ontario with respect to our government's tax administration and tax policies. Can you elaborate on some of those restrictions they've put on?

Mr Sweeting: Sure. Certainly the history of this government looking to make changes to its income tax system has found situations where the federal government has refused to implement moves that the government felt were appropriate. The government was elected in 1995 with a structure for a fair share health care levy, which was a very particular way of generating additional revenue from high-income taxpayers as a compensation for elimination of the employer health tax on the first $400,000. The federal government would not implement the structure that was proposed and as a result a compromise structure had to be determined in order to do that.

Quite recently, for example, we've been in the process of looking to produce a more explanatory statement for taxpayers about their tax and their Ontario tax burden and how that's changed over time as a supplement and complement to the information received through the notice of assessment process that you get when you get back, in most people's case, your refund or your information from the federal government when you file. We haven't been successful in getting that implemented in a way that would be appropriate, despite the useful information that it would be for taxpayers.

Certainly the last budget announced Ontario would be looking to introduce a tax credit to provide benefit with respect to stock options earned by certain kinds of employees. The federal government has told us at the staff level that would not be something they would implement through the tax collection process. So we have a history of difficulties.

As the deputy pointed out, they have adopted certain kinds of credits and there have been things added to the tax system that benefit Ontario taxpayers that weren't there before. But all of those had to be approved by the federal government. Ontario cannot simply say: "I'd like to have that. Put it on." It has to be approved.

Mr John Hastings (Etobicoke North): My first question, Mr Purchase, would be, what is the difficulty we have had with the source and scope of the estimates the feds provide us that you or your staff have experienced? Is it the range?

Dr Purchase: Typically in recent years the estimates have proved to be underestimates, and there's not much we can do about it. It doesn't really matter what we think. As Mr Deutscher was saying earlier, it's not his experience, and he's had more recent experience than mine, or longer experience than mine recently, that they ever change in response to what our views are. It comes back to this fundamental question of forecasts. It's tough. We can have duelling forecasters here. Often people have quite legitimately different perspectives on what might happen. As long as we rely on forecasts, we will never resolve this. We will go on fighting with them. It would be an unusual situation that we would have the exact same forecast.

I don't know all the details, maybe Mr Deutscher does, about how the federal government does its personal income tax forecasts. Quite frankly, I can say I have many years' experience in forecasting, and even if I did, I could probably have quite a continuing debate with just about any economist or you name your forecaster about these things.

The real resolution might be in moving to an actual collections-based system. If the other parts make sense to us, the great advantage of that is that this will remove once and for all this irritant. This continuing argument that goes back and forth between officials about forecasts will be over, and maybe there will be a great saving just from that alone.

Mr Hastings: Does this go back to the root cause of the original 1962 tax agreement and the lessons we've learned over the years regarding that particular document and all the changes that have been made? Do you see us moving, sometime in the next century, to a new agreement that will deal with these issues in a way of integrity and get them off the table so you can get on with the problems we have in other areas?

Dr Purchase: Yes, sir, I do. Again, I'm quite heartened. We've come a long way since 1962. I think in 1962 there was a very different federal attitude towards the provinces. I think the federal government takes the province of Ontario and the other provinces much more seriously now than it did in the 1960s. The Ontario government spends over $60 billion a year; we only get $5.6 billion or thereabouts from the federal government. That's a very different situation today than it was in the 1960s. I think that's beginning to be reflected in the attitudes of federal officials and the federal government generally towards Ontario. So I believe that we're on the right track towards getting more co-operation.

Mr Hastings: Another question I'd like to pursue is, and we may have to deal with it this afternoon, to what extent has the ministry looked at the Quebec experience in terms of how they've gone about collecting their own taxes? Tax on income? Are there significant advantages you see in the proposal we have, and how does it differ or is it similar in terms of the downsides as well?

Mr Sweeting: I could certainly speak from the standpoint of tax policy and tax policy flexibility. We have looked often at the Quebec situation. Quebec in effect has had tax on income since the 1950s, the system that we're looking to move to as a province and how they've been able to set their own brackets, their own rates. They are able to do more than tax on income would allow. They actually have a full partnership in that they can also determine how items will be brought to tax, which is not something the federal government is currently offering. But it has been indicated that from Ontario's perspective we should be moving to a system that does allow full partnership of the provinces with the federal government.

Quebec has utilized its flexibility to do a variety of things. Its brackets are different than ours are now. It has made choices about how it wants to distribute its tax burden, and it can do it a lot more directly and straightforwardly and clearly than we're able to do and have been able to do historically in Ontario. They haven't chosen, to be frank, to set taxable income much different from what's set for federal purposes. But they've had the ability over time to make that determination and decide if the federal definition is appropriate or not, and that's again something that hasn't been available to Ontario. So what's being offered under the latest round of negotiations with the federal government moves us towards Quebec's situation but doesn't get us all the way to that situation.

Mr Hastings: Does it have to be tied in to a new tax agreement, or can we work out something on our own situation, aside from the existing tax or proposed tax agreement?

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Mr Sweeting: There would have to be a new collection agreement to govern the specifics of the arrangement. The tax collection agreements-actually the federal government has one with each province-are quite similar in their structure. But under the new arrangement, that effectively has to be authorized through Ontario legislation that will reflect the policy intention the government comes to with respect to how it wants to tax in the tax-on-income regime, and authorize the continued collection under the basics of the new tax-on-income arrangement. The agreement will be improved and, as the deputy said, there are a number of other areas we would hope to see improve within the tax collection agreement as well.

Mr Gerry Phillips (Scarborough-Agincourt): I am very interested in this subject for a couple of reasons. One, as you know, is that I kind of deeply resent the fact that we the public don't get what I regard as necessary information on our revenues, and the solution to this would be helpful in that. The second is that, as I listen to the debate, my conclusion is that it has cost Ontario $300 million in lost interest over the last five years and the federal government has been unwilling to co-operate with Ontario in resolving this issue. It's a substantial issue, involving a lot of money, that has to be resolved.

I want to pursue what Ontario has done, because I see that there will be a public debate on this, perhaps having the federal agency in to discuss it. First, one way of partially solving this would be to change the revenue estimates the federal government provides to you. I gather from your comments that you have said to the federal government when they sent you these revenue estimates, "We disagree with these, we think you are low and we believe we should have a higher revenue estimate." You have communicated that to the federal government, and they have simply said: "No, we're not going to accept your view on it. We're going to use our estimates."

My question is to confirm that has happened in the last two or three years: You have taken the federal estimates and said, "You're wrong," you have sent them a letter or communicated to them that they are wrong and they have ignored it. The second part is that it may be useful for the committee to see that correspondence, to see what communication they have ignored.

Mr Deutscher: That was probably my comment. There are no letters. It is strictly in regular meetings with the federal government that a discussion takes place between the federal government and all the provinces.

Mr Phillips: So for something that's worth $300 million, you wouldn't have said to them, "We think you're wrong for these reasons and we are requesting that you increase your estimate"? You have not documented that with the federal government?

Dr Purchase: No. There is an exchange of correspondence between the deputy in Ontario, as I recall, and the federal deputy at various points, and with the minister constantly raising the issue with his counterpart, Mr Martin. This has been very much and constantly under discussion and review with our federal counterparts.

Mr Phillips: But, Deputy, are you telling the committee that you have told the federal government you disagree with their estimates over the last two to three years, that you believe they have estimated low and you've quantified that for them? I just want to be sure that-

Dr Purchase: No, what we have done is said repeatedly that they owe us money in respect of past underestimates.

Mr Phillips: With all due respect, Deputy, you're not answering the question. We understand they send you the estimate three times a year. Have you informed them when they sent you the estimate that you disagree with it, that you think it's too low and should be a much higher number?

Dr Purchase: No, I have not done that in my year there. I haven't done that. As I say, our forecasters are meeting constantly with the federal government and exchanging views on forecasts.

Mr Phillips: Correct me if I'm wrong, but you do have an opportunity to tell them they're wrong. I would have thought that if you thought they were wrong you could say: "Listen, we told them every year for the last three or four years that they're wrong and they owe us more money. Their estimates are low." But you have not told me that you may in hindsight have said, "You owe us more." I would have thought that when they sent you those estimates you would have communicated to them that you believed they were incorrect, but you haven't done that.

Dr Purchase: I haven't done that directly.

Mr Phillips: I assume you're speaking on behalf of the ministry.

Dr Purchase: I'm saying that if you are asking me to say to you that I have written a letter to my federal counterpart-

Mr Phillips: No. I'm asking, on behalf of the ministry, has the ministry officially told-

Dr Purchase: My understanding is that Mr Deutscher just answered your question; that is, he has regularly raised the issue.

Mr Phillips: OK, fine, thank you.

You have said you believe the solution would be that they remit the money to you on collection. Once again, I assume you have made the case in writing to them about wanting the money remitted on collection, you have made the arguments why you want that and they have responded to you saying, "We are not going to do that."

Dr Purchase: No, what I said in my remarks on the matter of collections is that we are discussing the issue with them. Before we make a formal request of the federal government to change fundamentally, we want to make sure we fully understand the implications for ourselves. I tried to point out in an earlier question that there are some issues associated with that. For example, there are some additional burdens in reporting arrangements that would be borne by employers, and there are cash flow implications for the province of Ontario. There are some advantages.

But I also said that I agree it does seem to be one way of cutting through this Gordian knot of forecasts. As I pointed out to the committee, and as we pointed out to the auditor, there was a situation in the past where the federal forecasts were overestimates of what was owing to us. Currently there are underestimates. They will come back and tell you: "We overpaid you one time, and we underpaid you another. There probably is a balance."

All I'm saying is that it's true, it's a fact, and that it looks like we could put this behind us and solve the whole thing if we went to a collections basis. But I can't make that determination until I know exactly the full implications.

Mr Phillips: My problem, Deputy, is that I came into this session thinking that the dastardly federal government won't do what Ontario wants them to do. They consistently provide a low-ball estimate on the payments and ignore the advice of the provincial government and the provincial government has asked them to move to a collection basis and they have steadfastly refused, and neither of those things has happened.

Dr Purchase: No, we have not asked them to move to a collections basis. What I have said is that I agree with the Provincial Auditor that we should look at this possibility and that when we have finally determined that this is the best way for us to go, at that point we will ask them to move to a collections basis.

Officials have had, and maybe can describe for you, discussions with the federal government. We think it's technically feasible, but a final determination hasn't been made.

Mr Phillips: You can understand the difference between my perception coming in and what I'm hearing now, which is that the provincial government hasn't done either of the things I've said: blasted the federal government for an estimate we disagree with, or asked the federal government to move to a collection basis.

I want to just update myself-

Dr Purchase: If I could repeat, we have repeatedly and vociferously said to the federal government that they owe us money in respect of recent underpayments. I don't think we've misled anybody about the fact that we have aggressively pursued this issue with the federal government. What we haven't yet done is say to them, once and for all, that we want to move to a collection basis.

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Mr Phillips: It might be helpful, if it's possible, to get that communication where you've said to the federal government, "We think you are negligent in paying us our money."

Dr Purchase: I don't know. Some of that involves correspondence between ministers. I'm not going to make a commitment that I can produce that for you. You have my word that it takes place, but I'm not necessarily going to produce all the correspondence for you. I can assure you and members of the committee that letters have gone from both the deputy minister in Ontario and from the minister, and that every time the ministers of finance meet, or many times in my experience of 15 months or so when they have met either formally or informally, or on the telephone, issues like this arise.

Mr Phillips: I hear your answer.

On the status of the Canada Customs and Revenue Agency agreement, has Ontario made any agreements with the agency? Are we in the midst of negotiations with them? Where does that stand?

Dr Purchase: We have not formally negotiated a new arrangement. I think there are some sub-arrangements that you do, Roy. Do you want to address that issue?

Mr Lawrie: When the CCRA came into existence, it took over all the existing agreements that the province had with Revenue Canada. Since that time, they have suggested and indeed sent us very much a first draft, a sketch if you like, of what they call a management framework agreement. This would basically set out the relationship between provincial tax administration and the CCRA and would also provide for certain information, particularly about personal income tax and how the CCRA collects and administers it, to be given on a periodic basis to the province and for regular meetings to take place between tax executives of the CCRA and of the province to discuss the results of the CCRA's administration of PIT.

I think the ball's in our court, actually. We are due to send them back our suggestions for some of the things we'd like to see in the agreement. But I have to emphasize that the agreement is only with respect to information; it's not with respect to the province being able to direct the CCRA to do more audits of a particular kind of taxpayer, because under the tax collection agreement that's the sole prerogative of the federal government. So it's an information agreement only.

Mr Phillips: But is this the opportunity for us to resolve the outstanding issues, if we believe we should be paid on collection, that we use this opportunity; if we believe that we need more audits, that we put that in? All of these things, it seems to me, if they're going to be handled by this agency and we're signing an agreement with them, we should be incorporating these things.

Dr Purchase: What we have moved into a model of is improvements by degrees, I guess, in which we get one thing at a time. We haven't yet achieved the stage where we can say: "Let's get it all right now. Let's sit down and have the entire thing negotiated." We tend to make progress, as I say, by degrees. We get one agreement, and then we work on another issue. The federal government hasn't offered us an opportunity to sit down and do a comprehensive "Let's rewrite the entire thing."

Mr Phillips: Have we asked them for it?

Dr Purchase: We're not even sure that that's necessarily the best way to proceed at the present time. As long as we're making progress on individual items, which I believe we are, then I don't know that it's worth it to sit down with them and say, "Let's have everything on the table," at the present time.

Mr Phillips: I have trouble accepting that. If this is a new agency being set up with a new board, the auditor has indicated $300 million worth of lost money for the Ontario taxpayer and we've got what you regard as serious problems, I would have thought this is the perfect opportunity, not something that we would put on the back shelf and deal with somewhere down the road.

Dr Purchase: Again, the approach that we have taken to date is-we are in continuous negotiations, but it's not like a labour negotiation in which you're sitting down and saying, "Here's the entire range of issues, and we're going to resolve them all in this one negotiation." It just doesn't work out that way. We resolve them sequentially. We are constantly in negotiation about everything, but we only make progress by degrees on any specific issue.

The Chair: You have one more minute.

Mr Phillips: I'm not sure how to proceed because we're in public accounts, but I guess we have a difference of opinion. I think that when we're setting a new agency up, a new board, we want to set the ground rules, it's the perfect opportunity. If these things are as serious to the provincial government as they appear to be, my belief is that somehow or other we have to find the vehicle that we get this thing off on the right foot and not institutionalize problems. I realize the minister, you and the ministry feel that it's appropriate to proceed this way, but I think we're missing the opportunity. I choose to at least question if not disagree with you on that.

We have to sign an agreement with them? We have to put in legislation dealing with it?

Mr Sweeting: Yes, certainly to do with the structure of the tax system under tax on income, and there is officializing through the tax collection agreement process. So there is legislation and signatory elements associated with implementing tax on income.

The Chair: OK, that's it. The auditor wanted to make one comment with respect to a comment that was made.

Mr Erik Peters: I would like some clarification of taking over the contract. Just to clarify, we discussed the CCRA in the audit community, and there was one statement made to us that's slightly at odds with what was said here. The statement was made that the actual agreement continues to be an agreement between the two governments and that the agreement with the CCRA would be an agreement to administer that tax agreement. The statement that there is actually an agreement between the province and the CCRA only pertains to the administration of what would actually be an agree-ment between the federal government and the province of Ontario. Is that your understanding?

Dr Purchase: Yes, Mr Peters, that's correct. If we're talking about the tax collection agreement, we don't really negotiate with the CCRA; we negotiate with the Department of Finance. But on a lot of technical matters, effectively, we're talking continuously with the CCRA as well; for example, Mr Lawrie would be dealing with technical people on the matter of audits and so on and so forth. We don't go through the Department of Finance to get down to that level of detail.

On the matter of policy, it is clearly federal policy to provide this service to the provincial government only if you comply with certain fundamental rules that they set vis-à-vis the tax collection agreement. These rules are not rules that are written into the Constitution. The province of Ontario has every right in law to have any tax system it pleases with respect to the provincial income tax. It is not a question of us not having the legal authority; it's just that, as long as we use the federal administration, these are the rules that are going to apply.

The Chair: We had a request earlier as well, Dr Purchase, with respect to whether you would be prepared to table a copy of the 1962 agreement together with any amendments thereto. This was a request that was made at the in camera session.

Mr Sweeting: I don't think that should be a problem. We should have that for sure.

The Chair: That can be done? OK, thank you. Then we stand in recess until 1:30 this time.

Mr Maves: Chair, I don't think we have any further questions; I don't know if the other members do.

The Chair: You don't have any further questions, Ms Martel? No. The government?

Mr Maves: We have no further questions.

The Chair: The Liberal caucus? No. OK.

Ms Mushinski: I move adjournment.

The Chair: We can move adjournment, but we have to give some direction to the researcher with respect to the items. Do you want to deal with that on an in camera basis very quickly before we adjourn?

The public session is adjourned until tomorrow morning at this time. If the members could just stay for a few minutes.

The committee continued in closed session at 1202.